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NFLGame line1st half spread
PIT 1H -3.5 (1st half spread)
Won11 of 18last season · 61%
Best price+126Polymarket
Price needs44.2%wins to break even
Every game13 of 24this season and last
Trend score-19.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 44% to break even | 7%–46% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 44% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 44% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 44% to break even | 12%–65% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 11 of 1861%needs 44% to break even | 42%–77% | 17 points betterwon 61%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 13 of 2454%needs 44% to break even | 38%–70% | 10 points betterwon 54%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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PIT 1H -3.5 (1st half spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against pit 1h -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  TB | -10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  IND | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 1 |  CLE | -11 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  CIN | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NE | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  ATL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 12 |  HOU | -1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  BAL | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | CLE | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  DET | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 |  MIA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | BAL | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  BUF | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  CHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | CIN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 |  LAC | -9 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | IND | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  GB | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 16 | CIN | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | CLE | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  MIN | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | NE | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  SEA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  NYJ | -2 | -5.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Pittsburgh Steelers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.