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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Pat Freiermuth under 24.5 receiving yards
Won8 of 16last season · 50%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game10 of 22this season and last
Trend score-17.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 43% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 43% to break even | 12%–65% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 8 of 1650%needs 43% to break even | 31%–69% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 10 of 2245%needs 43% to break even | 29%–62% | 3 points betterwon 45%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Pat Freiermuth under 24.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 11 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  IND | 44 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CIN | 30 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 46 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  HOU | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 |  BAL | 51 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | CLE | 63 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  DET | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  MIA | 45 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | BAL | 9 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  CHI | 19 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | CIN | 19 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  LAC | 33 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | IND | 27 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  GB | 13 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | CIN | 111 | -86.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | CLE | 11 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | NE | 6 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 31 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 28 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -183at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 65% to break even | -26.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -114at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -19.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 30.5 receiving yardsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -111at BetMGM | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 32.5 receiving yardsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -111at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -30.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +146at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 41% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Pat Freiermuth in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptionsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -154at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -165at BetMGM | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 41% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 receptionsPat Freiermuth · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +134at FanDuel | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.