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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Jaylen Warren over 24.5 receiving yards
Won6 of 6this season · 100%
Best price-121Kalshi
Price needs54.8%wins to break even
Every game11 of 23this season and last
Trend score-9.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 55% to break even | 65%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 55% to break even | 44%–87% | 15 points betterwon 70%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 55% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 55% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 55% to break even | 69%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 55% to break even | 15%–49% | 25 points shortwon 29%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 55% to break even | 32%–64% | 7 points shortwon 48%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jaylen Warren over 24.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 28 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  IND | 87 | +62.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 33 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CIN | 49 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 34 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  HOU | 4 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 |  BAL | 33 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | CLE | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  DET | 8 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  MIA | 15 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | BAL | 49 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  BUF | 9 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  CHI | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | CIN | 5 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  LAC | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | IND | -2 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  GB | 11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | CIN | 31 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | CLE | 11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | NE | 34 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 86 | +61.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 22 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -107at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 25.5 receiving yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -114at FanDuel | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 26.5 receiving yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -115at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jaylen Warren in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doesn't score a TDJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 receptionsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -148at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 60% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 99.5 rush + rec yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -142at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -148at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -113at BetRivers | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 rush attemptsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 63.5 rushing yardsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 rush attemptsJaylen Warren · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even | -20.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.