This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 45.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 45.4receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 45.4receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 45.4receiving yards |
| Every game |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: NO allows 149.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 15th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How NO defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 75.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even |
| 14%–73% |
| 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| 45.4receiving yards |
| -61.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 2 | 35 | -40.5 | Lost |
| +181at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even |
| -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +100at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -113at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -148at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 60% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +124at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even |
| -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +275at BetRivers | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 27% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +240at BetMGM | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 29% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +145at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 41% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -154at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 61% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -148at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 60% to break even | -22.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.