This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 29% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 520%needs 29% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 520%needs 29% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 29% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
| Every game | 1 of 520%needs 29% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: NO allows 1 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 14th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9). How NO defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Germie Bernard game, newest first: whether Bernard scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| +181at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even |
| -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +114at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 47% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +185at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 75.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +178at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +275at BetRivers | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 27% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +100at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -113at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +145at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 41% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 receiving yardsGermie Bernard · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +125at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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