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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
DK Metcalf under 69.5 receiving yards
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-183Kalshi
Price needs64.7%wins to break even
Every game16 of 22this season and last
Trend score-15.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 65% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 65% to break even | 44%–87% | 5 points betterwon 70%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 65% to break even | 59%–92% | 15 points betterwon 80%, needs 65% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 65% to break even | 35%–88% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 12 of 1675%needs 65% to break even | 55%–88% | 10 points betterwon 75%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 16 of 2273%needs 65% to break even | 55%–85% | 8 points betterwon 73%, needs 65% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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DK Metcalf under 69.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 69.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 69.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 93 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  IND | 12 | +57.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 115 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  CIN | 31 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 27 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 40 | +29.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  HOU | 42 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  DET | 42 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  MIA | 55 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  BAL | 148 | -78.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  BUF | 32 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  CHI | 22 | +47.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | CIN | 49 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  LAC | 35 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | IND | 6 | +63.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  GB | 55 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | CIN | 50 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | CLE | 95 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  MIN | 126 | -56.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | NE | 32 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 20 | +49.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 83 | -13.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -168at Kalshi | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 56.5 receiving yardsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -114at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -33.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 58.5 receiving yardsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -113at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -33.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 52% to break even | -32.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +140at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 42% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on DK Metcalf in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +107at BetOnline | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 receptionsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 40% to break even | -29.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsDK Metcalf · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -133at DraftKings | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 57% to break even | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.