This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 53% to break even | 39%–78% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 53% to break even | 35%–88% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 53% to break even | 39%–80% | 9 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 12 of 1963%needs 53% to break even | 44%–79% | 10 points betterwon 63%, needs 53% |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 12 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 27 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 67 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 7 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 18 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 15 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 36 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 12 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 45 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 22 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 67 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 15 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 43 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 2 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 62 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 20 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +25.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -168at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -28.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +103at BetOnline | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 55% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.