This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 63% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 63% to break even | 27%–73% | 13 points shortwon 50%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 63% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 63% to break even | 22%–78% | 13 points shortwon 50%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 63% to break even | 39%–80% | 1 points shortwon 62%, needs 63% |
| Every game |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 25 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsDarnell Washington |
| 39%–74% |
| 5 points shortwon 58%, needs 63% |
| 12 |
| -7.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 67 | +47.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 36 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 45 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 67 | +47.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 43 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 2 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 62 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -19.5 | Lost |
| +181at Kalshi |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even |
| -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 46% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -161at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +103at BetOnline |
| 7 of 13· last season54%needs 49% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsDarnell Washington · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 55% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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