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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Chris Olave under 74.5 receiving yards
Won10 of 16last season · 63%
Best price-115BetMGM
Price needs53.5%wins to break even
Every game12 of 22this season and last
Trend score-24.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 53% to break even | 12%–65% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 10 of 1663%needs 53% to break even | 42%–79% | 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 12 of 2255%needs 53% to break even | 38%–71% | 1 points betterwon 55%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Chris Olave under 74.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 74.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 74.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NYG | 43 | +31.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  MIN | 46 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  ATL | 116 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LV | 107 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  BAL | 86 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DET | 182 | -107.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 |  TEN | 119 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  NYJ | 148 | -73.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  CAR | 85 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  TB | 30 | +44.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  MIA | 47 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | ATL | 70 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | CAR | 104 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAR | 57 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | TB | 63 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  CHI | 98 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  NE | 98 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | NYG | 59 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  BUF | 20 | +54.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  SEA | 57 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  SF | 54 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  ARI | 54 | +20.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -148at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 72.5 receiving yardsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -114at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 74.5 receiving yardsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 75.5 receiving yardsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 40% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Chris Olave in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 receptionsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 receptionsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 5.5 receptionsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +116at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 46% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 receptionsChris Olave · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -155at BetMGM | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.