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NFLPlayer propKicking points
Daniel Carlson over 6.5 kicking points
Won5 of 17last season · 29%
Best price-140Fanatics
Price needs58.3%wins to break even
Every game7 of 23this season and last
Trend score-37.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% | 6kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 58% to break even | 13%–56% | 28 points shortwon 30%, needs 58% | 5.5kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 58% to break even | 13%–48% | 32 points shortwon 27%, needs 58% | 5.1kicking points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 58% to break even | 12%–65% | 25 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% | 6kicking points |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 58% to break even | 15%–49% | 29 points shortwon 29%, needs 58% | 5.1kicking points |
| Every game | 7 of 2330%needs 58% to break even | 17%–48% | 28 points shortwon 30%, needs 58% | 5.3kicking points |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 12 at home.
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Every book's price
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Daniel Carlson over 6.5 kicking points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Kicking points in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Kicking points | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NYG | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  MIN | 1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  ATL | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LV | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  BAL | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DET | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  KC | 12 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | NYG | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  HOU | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  PHI | 0 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  DEN | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  LAC | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  CLE | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  DAL | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | DEN | 1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  JAX | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | KC | 0 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  TEN | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  IND | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CHI | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  WSH | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | LAC | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NE | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 kicking pointsDaniel Carlson · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET |  +105at Fanatics | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even8 of 12 at home | -4.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 7.5 kicking pointsDaniel Carlson · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET |  -140at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 58% to break even8 of 12 at home | -12.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Daniel Carlson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 field goals madeDaniel Carlson · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | +111at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 47% to break even8 of 12 at home | -4.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 extra points madeDaniel Carlson · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | +140at Fanatics | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 42% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 extra points madeDaniel Carlson · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET |  -145at BetMGM | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 59% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -25.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 field goals madeDaniel Carlson · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -120at Fanatics | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 55% to break even4 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.