This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 63% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 63% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 63% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 63% to break even | 35%–88% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 10 of 1856%needs 63% to break even | 37%–73% | 7 points shortwon 56%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 14 of 2458%needs 63% to break even | 42%–73% | 5 points shortwon 58%, needs 63% |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against pit to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT -4.5 2nd half spreadPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |
| 7 |
| +7 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Oct 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 12 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 28 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Nov 9 | -15 | -15 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 26 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Oct 16 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 14 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even |
| -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | NV-102at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -9.6Not beating its price |
| PIT -2.5 2nd half spreadPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| PIT -3.5 2nd half spreadPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 40% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| PIT -3.5 4th quarter spreadPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 37% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 1st half team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 48% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 42% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 1st half team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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