This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 55% to break even | 13%–56% | 25 points shortwon 30%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 55% to break even | 13%–48% | 28 points shortwon 27%, needs 55% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 55% to break even | 12%–65% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 55% to break even | 15%–49% | 25 points shortwon 29%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 7 of 2330%needs 55% to break even | 17%–48% | 24 points shortwon 30%, needs 55% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NYG points in each game against under 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 team totalNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYG +8.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 27 |
| -10.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 27 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 36 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 6 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 28 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 34 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 34 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 27 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 32 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 9 | 34 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 9 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 37 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 6 | +10.5 | Won |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even |
| -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 team totalNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 team totalNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 43% to break even | 0.2Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even |
| 5.1Good |
| NYG +9.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even | 5.1Good |
| NYG +10.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 51% to break even | 3.3Good |
| NYG +7.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even | 2.7Slight |
| NYG +2.5 1st half spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight |
| NYG to win moneylineNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+413at Novig | 5 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped56%needs 19% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| NYG +3.5 1st half spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| NYG +5.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 35% to break even | -0.7Not beating its price |
| NYG +0.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price |
| NYG +13.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
| NYG +2.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 40% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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