This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 51% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 51% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 51% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 5 of 1926%needs 51% to break even | 13%–45% | 25 points shortwon 26%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 8 of 2532%needs 51% to break even | 19%–48% | 19 points shortwon 32%, needs 51% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
HOU points in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | HOU points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 37.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 34 |
| +6.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 26 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 6 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 18 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | 38 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 40 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 36 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 15 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 26 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 44 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 26 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 9 | -18.5 | Lost |
| 12 of 19· last season63%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.6Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 28.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 19· last season47%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 1st quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 10 of 19· last season53%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 13 of 19· last season68%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 19· last season42%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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