This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 37% to break even | 65%–100% | 63 points betterwon 100%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 37% to break even | 44%–87% | 33 points betterwon 70%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 37% to break even | 46%–83% | 30 points betterwon 67%, needs 37% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 37% to break even | 50%–96% | 46 points betterwon 83%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 11 of 1861%needs 37% to break even | 42%–77% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsKayshon Boutte |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte |
| 24 points betterwon 61%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 16 of 2467%needs 37% to break even | 50%–80% | 30 points betterwon 67%, needs 37% |
| 2 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 20 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| -173at DraftKings |
| 7 of 18· last season39%needs 63% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -42.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +119at Kalshi |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 46% to break even |
| 19.6Very strong |
| Over 12.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -111at BetOnline | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 53% to break even | 13.9Strong |
| Over 11.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -117at DraftKings | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 54% to break even | 12.8Strong |
| Under 11.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -107at DraftKings | 2 of 18· last season11%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.4Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -114at FanDuel | 2 of 18· last season11%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.7Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -161at Kalshi | 2 of 18· last season11%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -49.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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