This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 52% to break even | 0%–35% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 52% to break even | 2%–35% | 42 points shortwon 10%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 52% to break even | 2%–25% | 45 points shortwon 7%, needs 52% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 52% to break even | 0%–31% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 2 of 1811%needs 52% to break even | 4%–29% | 41 points shortwon 11%, needs 52% |
| Every game |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsKayshon Boutte |
| 3%–22% |
| 43 points shortwon 8%, needs 52% |
| 16 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 38 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 36 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 37 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 21 | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 20 | 75 | -63.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 | 66 | -54.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 30 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 35 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 75 | -63.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 55 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 93 | -81.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 43 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 28 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 103 | -91.5 | Lost |
| -117at DraftKings |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 54% to break even |
| 12.8Strong |
| Over 12.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -111at BetOnline | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 53% to break even | 13.9Strong |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +119at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 46% to break even | 19.6Very strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +170at BetRivers |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 37% to break even |
| 9.2Strong |
| Under 1.5 receptionsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -173at DraftKings | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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