This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 61receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 46.7receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 44.3receiving yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 53% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 63.8receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 7 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 46.8 receiving yards a game to tight ends, the 14th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 54.2). How HOU defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 6%–40% |
| 37 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% |
| 25.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 6 of 1833%needs 53% to break even | 18%–53% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% | 38.3receiving yards |
| 99 |
| +50.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 94 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 66 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 13 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 33 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 78 | +29.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 32 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 27 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 25 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 95 | +46.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 10 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 15 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 17 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 60 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 8 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 6 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 12 | -36.5 | Lost |
| +159at Kalshi |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 39% to break even5 of 7 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 54% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 51% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 64% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Kalshi |
| 11 of 12· last season92%needs 42% to break even5 of 7 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 12 of 12· last season100%needs 53% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +260at BetRivers | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 28% to break even1 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 35% to break even1 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +100at BetMGM | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 50% to break even1 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 66% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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