This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 28% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 28% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points betterwon 40%, needs 28% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 28% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points betterwon 40%, needs 28% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 28% to break even | 13%–48% | 1 points shortwon 27%, needs 28% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 28% to break even | 22%–78% | 22 points betterwon 50%, needs 28% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 28% to break even | 2%–30% | 19 points shortwon 8%, needs 28% |
| Every game |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 7 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 0.2 touchdowns a game to tight ends, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.5): a tough matchup for this bet. How HOU defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Isaiah Likely game, newest first: whether Likely scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 5 | |||
This player's other props in the game.
| 4 of 1822%needs 28% to break even |
| 10%–41% |
| 6 points shortwon 22%, needs 28% |
| 2 TDs |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 2 TDs | Won |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| +159at Kalshi |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 39% to break even5 of 7 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 41% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 12 of 12· last season100%needs 53% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +255at BetRivers | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 28% to break even1 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 52% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +160at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 38% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 54% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 72.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +178at BetOnline | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 36% to break even1 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +188at BetRivers | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 35% to break even1 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +125at BetOnline | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 44% to break even1 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.