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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
C.J. Stroud over 265.5 passing yards
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price+109BetOnline
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game6 of 22this season and last
Trend score-23.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 48% to break even | 27%–86% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% | 288passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 48% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 258.9passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 48% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% | 239.6passing yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 48% to break even | 35%–88% | 19 points betterwon 67%, needs 48% | 285.7passing yards |
| Last season | 2 of 1613%needs 48% to break even | 4%–32% | 35 points shortwon 13%, needs 48% | 218.9passing yards |
| Every game | 6 of 2227%needs 48% to break even | 15%–45% | 21 points shortwon 27%, needs 48% | 237.1passing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 10 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 198.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 4th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1): a tough matchup for this bet. How NYG defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
C.J. Stroud over 265.5 passing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 265.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 265.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 312 | +46.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 261 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 347 | +81.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  IND | 167 | -98.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | 353 | +87.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | 274 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  NE | 212 | -53.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 250 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | IND | 169 | -96.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 244 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  LV | 187 | -78.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 260 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 203 | -62.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | IND | 276 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 79 | -186.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  SF | 318 | +52.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 229 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 244 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | TEN | 233 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 204 | -61.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 207 | -58.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 188 | -77.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +189at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 248.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  -117at BetRivers | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 54% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 255.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  -111at DraftKings | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 260.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  -115at BetMGM | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -168at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 63% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on C.J. Stroud in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +145at Fanatics | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 41% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +625at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 14% to break even1 of 10 at home | -7.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -124at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 55% to break even9 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +180at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +280at FanDuel | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 26% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -109at DraftKings | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 268.5 pass + rush yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 299.5 pass + rush yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +194at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even3 of 10 at home | -17.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 32.5 pass attemptsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +105at BetMGM | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 49% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -120at BetMGM | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 55% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 261.5 pass + rush yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -114at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  -103at BetOnline | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.