This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 52% to break even | 5%–56% | 32 points shortwon 20%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 52% to break even | 4%–50% | 35 points shortwon 17%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 8 of 1650%needs 52% to break even | 31%–69% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Every game |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Interceptions thrown in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Interceptions thrown | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | +0.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownC.J. Stroud |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 26%–58% |
| 11 points shortwon 41%, needs 52% |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| -131at Kalshi |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -13.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Kalshi |
| 11 of 16· last season69%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.0Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -111at BetMGM | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -175at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 256.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -110at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 255.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -110at Fanatics | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -120at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Over 254.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -114at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 256.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -114at DraftKings | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Under 255.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -114at FanDuel | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.