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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
C.J. Stroud over 254.5 passing yards
Won5 of 6this season · 83%
Best price-114BetRivers
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game8 of 22this season and last
Trend score-19.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 3 of 1619%needs 53% to break even | 8%–39% | 35 points shortwon 19%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 8 of 2236%needs 53% to break even | 22%–54% | 17 points shortwon 36%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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C.J. Stroud over 254.5 passing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 254.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 254.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 312 | +57.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 261 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 347 | +92.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  IND | 167 | -87.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | 353 | +98.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | 274 | +19.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  NE | 212 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 250 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | IND | 169 | -85.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 244 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  LV | 187 | -67.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 260 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 203 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | IND | 276 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 79 | -175.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  SF | 318 | +63.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 229 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 244 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | TEN | 233 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 204 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 207 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 188 | -66.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  +181at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +101at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 254.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -117at BetRivers | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 255.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -114at FanDuel | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 256.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -114at DraftKings | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -168at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on C.J. Stroud in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -111at BetMGM | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 10.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -120at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 33.5 pass attemptsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -116at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 passing TDsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +198at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 34% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 10.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -112at BetRivers | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.