This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 12% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 12% to break even | 0%–35% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 12% to break even | 0%–21% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 12% to break even | 0%–15% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 12% to break even | 0%–31% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| Last season | 2 of 1811%needs 12% to break even | 4%–29% | 1 points shortwon 11%, needs 12% |
| Every game | 2 of 24 |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 1.2 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 7th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How NYG defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Xavier Hutchinson game, newest first: whether Hutchinson scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|
This player's other props in the game.
| 3%–22% |
| 3 points shortwon 8%, needs 12% |
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 20 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 15 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 14 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 2 TDs | Won |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| +164at DraftKings |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 38% to break even8 of 11 at home |
| 20.7Very strong |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +150at BetRivers | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 40% to break even7 of 11 at home | 6.5Good |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -150at BetRivers | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 60% to break even9 of 11 at home | 6.0Good |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +200at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 33% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 4.5Good |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even9 of 11 at home | 3.2Good |
| Over 12.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -111at BetMGM | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home | 2.9Slight |
| Over 13.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home | 1.1Slight |
| Over 23.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +137at BetOnline | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 42% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +134at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 43% to break even2 of 11 at home | -32.6Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -111at BetOnline | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 53% to break even2 of 11 at home | -37.7Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -116at DraftKings | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 54% to break even2 of 11 at home | -38.6Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -117at BetRivers | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 54% to break even2 of 11 at home | -39.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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