This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 13% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 13% to break even | 14%–73% | 27 points betterwon 40%, needs 13% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 13% to break even | 7%–46% | 7 points betterwon 20%, needs 13% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1315%needs 13% to break even | 5%–37% | 2 points betterwon 15%, needs 13% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 13% to break even | 12%–65% | 20 points betterwon 33%, needs 13% |
| Last season | 0 of 70%needs 13% to break even | 0%–28% | 13 points shortwon 0%, needs 13% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 7 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 0.3 touchdowns a game to tight ends, the 10th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.5): a tough matchup for this bet. How NYG defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Foster Moreau game, newest first: whether Moreau scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| Every game | 2 of 1315%needs 13% to break even | 5%–37% | 2 points betterwon 15%, needs 13% |
| Lost |
| Wk 3 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost |
| +148at BetRivers |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 40% to break even2 of 7 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -5.7Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -120at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even5 of 7 at home | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even4 of 7 at home | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +186at DraftKings | 4 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped31%needs 35% to break even2 of 7 at home | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -115at BetRivers | 7 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped54%needs 53% to break even3 of 7 at home | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -115at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 7 at home | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +118at BetRivers | 5 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped38%needs 46% to break even2 of 7 at home | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -106at DraftKings | 4 of 7· last season57%needs 51% to break even3 of 7 at home | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +188at BetOnline | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 35% to break even1 of 7 at home | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 7· last season71%needs 61% to break even5 of 7 at home | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 receiving yardsFoster Moreau · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +130at BetOnline | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 43% to break even1 of 7 at home | -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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