This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 62% to break even | 44%–87% | 8 points betterwon 70%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 62% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 62% to break even | 51%–85% | 9 points betterwon 71%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 15 of 2365%needs 62% to break even | 48%–79% | 4 points betterwon 65%, needs 62% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tb +4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| -7 |
| -2.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 8 | 8 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 3 | 2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | -3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | -1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | -4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | -27 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 20 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 | -15 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 11 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 | 1 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even |
| -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
| TB -0.5 3rd quarter spreadTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| TB +0.5 3rd quarter spreadTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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