This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 66% to break even | 27%–73% | 16 points shortwon 50%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 66% to break even | 17%–54% | 32 points shortwon 33%, needs 66% |
| This season | 3 of 475%needs 66% to break even | 36%–94% | 9 points betterwon 75%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 66% to break even | 6%–40% | 49 points shortwon 17%, needs 66% |
| Every game |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsJalen Coker · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 67.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker |
| 16%–52% |
| 34 points shortwon 31%, needs 66% |
| 8 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 1 | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| +134at Kalshi |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -111at DraftKings |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.9Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 37% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even | -26.1Not beating its price |
| Over 67.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -28.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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