This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 54% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 7 of 1644%needs 54% to break even | 26%–64% | 10 points shortwon 44%, needs 54% |
| Every game |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 15.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 15.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 46 | +30.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsTommy Tremble |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsTommy Tremble |
| 31%–65% |
| 6 points shortwon 48%, needs 54% |
| Wk 4 |
| 12 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 3 | 41 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 4 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 25 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 22 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 38 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 2 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 54 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 4 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 39 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 42 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 16 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -13.5 | Lost |
| -107at DraftKings |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even |
| -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 receiving yardsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at BetRivers | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +152at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 40% to break even |
| -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at FanDuel | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 66% to break even | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -179at BetOnline | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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