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NFLGame lineTeam total
Under 17.5 (team total)
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game6 of 22this season and last
Trend score-19.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 41% to break even | 0%–35% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 41% to break even | 27%–73% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 41% to break even | 17%–54% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 41% |
| This season | 0 of 50%needs 41% to break even | 0%–35% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 41% to break even | 19%–55% | 5 points shortwon 35%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 6 of 2227%needs 41% to break even | 15%–45% | 13 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 17.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
KC points in each game against under 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | KC points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  LAC | 22 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  LV | 30 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  MIA | 24 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  IND | 33 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  DEN | 31 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | LV | 12 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | DEN | 13 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  TEN | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | LAC | 13 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  HOU | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 |  DAL | 28 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | IND | 23 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | DEN | 19 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  BUF | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 |  WSH | 28 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | LV | 31 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  DET | 30 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 6 |  JAX | 28 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  BAL | 37 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  NYG | 22 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  PHI | 17 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | LAC | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 team totalKansas City Chiefs · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |  -183at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 team totalKansas City Chiefs · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |  -105at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 team totalKansas City Chiefs · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 team totalKansas City Chiefs · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Kansas City Chiefs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.