This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 59% to break even | 65%–100% | 41 points betterwon 100%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 59% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 59% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points shortwon 53%, needs 59% |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 59% to break even | 65%–100% | 41 points betterwon 100%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 59% to break even | 29%–66% | 12 points shortwon 47%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 13 of 2259%needs 59% to break even | 42%–74% | evenwon 59%, needs 59% |
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
KC 1H points in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | KC 1H points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 19 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 21 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st half team totalKansas City Chiefs · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalKansas City Chiefs · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.