This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 66% to break even | 65%–100% | 34 points betterwon 100%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 66% to break even | 44%–87% | 4 points betterwon 70%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 66% to break even | 59%–92% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 66% to break even | 65%–100% | 34 points betterwon 100%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 13 of 1776%needs 66% to break even | 57%–89% | 11 points betterwon 76%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 18 of 2282%needs 66% to break even | 65%–92% | 16 points betterwon 82%, needs 66% |
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against kc 2h +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 6 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 6 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 14 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | -8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -14 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 21 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 10 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 10 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | -10 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 10 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.