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NFLPlayer propPassing TDs
Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing tds
Won9 of 14last season · 64%
Best price-199Kalshi
Price needs66.6%wins to break even
Every game10 of 19this season and last
Trend score-30.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 67% to break even | 5%–56% | 47 points shortwon 20%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 67% to break even | 27%–73% | 17 points shortwon 50%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 67% to break even | 28%–67% | 20 points shortwon 47%, needs 67% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 67% to break even | 5%–56% | 47 points shortwon 20%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 67% to break even | 43%–81% | 2 points shortwon 64%, needs 67% |
| Every game |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing tds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing TDs in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing TDs | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 passing TDsPatrick Mahomes |
More on Patrick Mahomes in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 249.5 passing yardsPatrick Mahomes |
