This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 58% to break even | 44%–87% | 12 points betterwon 70%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 58% to break even | 59%–92% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 58% to break even | 22%–78% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 17 of 2085%needs 58% to break even | 68%–94% | 27 points betterwon 85%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 20 of 2677%needs 58% to break even | 61%–88% | 19 points betterwon 77%, needs 58% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sea to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
| -3 |
| -3 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Sep 9 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 8 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 35 | +35 | Won |
| Jan 3 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Dec 28 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 26 | +26 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Nov 16 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Oct 20 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Oct 5 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 31 | +31 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Sep 7 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even |
| 3.3Good |
| SEA -1.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| SEA -6.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| SEA +2.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| SEA -5.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| SEA -3.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 3rd quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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