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NFLGame lineSpread
SEA -3.5 (spread)
Won14 of 20last season · 70%
Best price+126Polymarket
Price needs44.2%wins to break even
Every game16 of 26this season and last
Trend score-10.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 44% to break even | 39%–78% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 44% to break even | 12%–65% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 14 of 2070%needs 44% to break even | 52%–84% | 26 points betterwon 70%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 16 of 2662%needs 44% to break even | 45%–75% | 17 points betterwon 62%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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SEA -3.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against sea -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  DEN | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  SF | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  LAC | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  WSH | -2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  ARI | 24 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 9 |  NE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 8 | NE | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  LAR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | SF | 35 | +31.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | SF | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  CAR | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | LAR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  IND | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  ATL | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  MIN | 26 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  TEN | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | LAR | -2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | ARI | 22 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | WSH | 24 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 |  HOU | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  JAX | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  TB | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | ARI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  NO | 31 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  PIT | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | SF | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Seattle Seahawks in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.