This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 82% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 82% to break even | 65%–100% | 18 points betterwon 100%, needs 82% | won by 17.2points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 82% to break even | 54%–93% | 2 points shortwon 80%, needs 82% | won by 8.7points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 82% to break even | 52%–87% | 9 points shortwon 73%, needs 82% | won by 8.5points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 82% to break even | 55%–97% | 4 points betterwon 86%, needs 82% | won by 13.9points |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 82% to break even | 43%–81% | 18 points shortwon 64%, needs 82% | won by 5.8points |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 82% to break even | 54%–84% | 11 points shortwon 71%, needs 82% | won by 8.5points |
Tonight BOIS plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 10 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against BOIS to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 13 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 33 | +33 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | AFA | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 37 | +37 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | -27 | -27 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 65.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise St. · Sat, Oct 31, 10:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 54% to break even7 of 10 at home | 0.8Slight | ||
| Over 65.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise St. · Sat, Oct 31, 10:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 52% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -36.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.