This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% | won by 25.8points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% | won by 10.4points |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 36% to break even | 13%–48% | 9 points shortwon 27%, needs 36% | won by 8.6points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 36% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points betterwon 43%, needs 36% | won by 17.6points |
| Last season |
Tonight LIB plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against FIU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against LIB -21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.5 game total, LIB games |
| 2%–30% |
| 27 points shortwon 8%, needs 36% |
| lost by 0.9points |
| Every game | 4 of 1921%needs 36% to break even | 10%–40% | 15 points shortwon 21%, needs 36% | won by 5.9points |
| 28 |
| +6.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 8 | 32 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 24 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 36 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 1 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | -7 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -6 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -6 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -7 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -4 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 29 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 | 3 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 | 11 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -14 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -18 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -10 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | JVST | -10 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost |
| +198at Kalshi |
| 6 of 12· last season50%needs 34% to break even4 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 54% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 39% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 36% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 50% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even6 of 9 at home | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 44% to break even3 of 9 at home | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 9 at home | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 62% to break even6 of 9 at home | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 58% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 45% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, LIB gamesLiberty · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 54% to break even5 of 9 at home | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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