This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% | 89.6total points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% | 74.8total points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% | 67.8total points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 51% to break even | 41%–90% | 21 points betterwon 71%, needs 51% | 82.6total points |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 51% to break even | 10%–49% | 26 points shortwon 25%, needs 51% | 49.3total points |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 51% to break even | 26%–61% | 9 points shortwon 42%, needs 51% | 61.6total points |
Tonight CSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 64.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 64.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 105 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 93 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 82 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 104 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 64 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 82 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 48 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | AFA | 63 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 70 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 37 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 52 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 28 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 50 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 70 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 69 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 23 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 33 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 38 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 game total, CSU gamesColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 44% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 62.5 game total, CSU gamesColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 50% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 63.5 game total, CSU gamesColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 52% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 64.5 game total, CSU gamesColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 54% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 65.5 game total, CSU gamesColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 57% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU to win moneylineColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 35% to break even0 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.8Not beating its price | |
| CSU +2.5 spreadColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 41% to break even0 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -22.6Not beating its price | |
| CSU +4.5 spreadColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 50% to break even1 of 7 on the road | -26.9Not beating its price | ||
| CSU +5.5 spreadColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even1 of 7 on the road | -27.7Not beating its price | ||
| CSU +6.5 spreadColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 54% to break even1 of 7 on the road | -30.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.