This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% | lost by 18.8points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | lost by 9points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 54% to break even | 17%–54% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% | lost by 10.3points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 54% to break even | 19%–71% | 11 points shortwon 43%, needs 54% | lost by 5.4points |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 54% to break even | 16%–57% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% | lost by 12.3points |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 54% to break even | 21%–56% | 17 points shortwon 37%, needs 54% | lost by 9.8points |
Tonight CSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 7 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against CSU +6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | -39 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -30 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -18 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 34 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 22 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | AFA | -21 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | -28 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -32 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -28 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 28 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -21 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -17 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -17 | -10.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.