This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% | 35.4points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 47% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% | 32.9points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 47% to break even | 17%–54% | 13 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% | 28.7points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 47% to break even | 29%–81% | 10 points betterwon 57%, needs 47% | 38.6points |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 47% to break even | 2%–30% | 38 points shortwon 8%, needs 47% | 18.5points |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 47% to break even | 13%–45% | 20 points shortwon 26%, needs 47% | 25.9points |
Tonight CSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 7 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CSU points in each game against over 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CSU points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 56 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 45 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 23 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 58 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 35 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | AFA | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 17 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 10 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 19 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 49 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 16 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 team totalColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 59% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 team totalColorado St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 61% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.