This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 92% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 92% to break even | 27%–86% | 32 points shortwon 60%, needs 92% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 92% to break even | 35%–81% | 32 points shortwon 60%, needs 92% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 92% to break even | 46%–83% | 25 points shortwon 67%, needs 92% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 92% to break even | 22%–78% | 42 points shortwon 50%, needs 92% |
| Last season | 11 of 1479%needs 92% to break even | 57%–91% | 13 points shortwon 79%, needs 92% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 92% to break even | 52%–84% | 22 points shortwon 70%, needs 92% |
Tonight TULN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CLT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tuln to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| -3 |
| -3 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 20 | -31 | -31 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Nov 7 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Oct 30 | -22 | -22 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 9 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -35 | -35 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 20 | +20 | Won |
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