This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 15% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 15% to break even | 5%–56% | 5 points betterwon 20%, needs 15% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 15% to break even | 2%–35% | 5 points shortwon 10%, needs 15% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 15% to break even | 2%–25% | 8 points shortwon 7%, needs 15% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 15% to break even | 3%–45% | 1 points shortwon 14%, needs 15% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 15% to break even | 2%–30% | 7 points shortwon 8%, needs 15% |
| Every game | 2 of 1911%needs 15% to break even | 4%–27% | 4 points shortwon 11%, needs 15% |
Tonight CLT plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TULN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against clt to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| -40 |
| -40 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -51 | -51 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -32 | -32 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -27 | -27 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -32 | -32 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -26 | -26 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | -34 | -34 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -35 | -35 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | -28 | -28 | Lost |
| Sep 18 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | -23 | -23 | Lost |
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