This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 26% to break even | 44%–95% | 54 points betterwon 80%, needs 26% | won by 12points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 26% to break even | 27%–73% | 24 points betterwon 50%, needs 26% | lost by 3points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 26% to break even | 33%–72% | 27 points betterwon 53%, needs 26% | lost by 2points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 26% to break even | 41%–90% | 45 points betterwon 71%, needs 26% | won by 3.3points |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 26% to break even | 16%–57% | 7 points betterwon 33%, needs 26% | lost by 6.8points |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 26% to break even | 30%–65% | 21 points betterwon 47%, needs 26% | lost by 3.1points |
Tonight FAU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against UNT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 9 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against FAU to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -32 | -32 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 56 | +56 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -45 | -45 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -39 | -39 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -35 | -35 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 20 | +20 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -29 | -29 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 42 | +42 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -32 | -32 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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