This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 57% to break even | 65%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 57% to break even | 65%–98% | 33 points betterwon 90%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 57% to break even | 75%–98% | 37 points betterwon 93%, needs 57% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 57% to break even | 55%–97% | 29 points betterwon 86%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 57% to break even | 72%–98% | 36 points betterwon 92%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 18 of 2090%needs 57% to break even | 74%–97% | 33 points betterwon 90%, needs 57% |
Tonight UL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TROY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ul 1h +9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 19 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -18 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 28 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | -7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 18 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -28 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 10 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -8 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.