This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 53% to break even | 15%–54% | 23 points shortwon 31%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 53% to break even | 21%–56% | 16 points shortwon 37%, needs 53% |
Tonight ASU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against KSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 53 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 1st half totalArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 26.5 team totalArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET |
| 23 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 37 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 56 | +28.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 52 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 32 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 33 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 13· last season69%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even |
| -8.4Not beating its price |
| ASU -0.5 1st half spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, ASU gamesArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, ASU gamesArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| ASU -1.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| ASU to win moneylineArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | NV+122at Novig | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, ASU gamesArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| ASU +0.5 1st half spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| ASU +0.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| ASU -0.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| ASU -2.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| ASU +1.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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