This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 49% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 49% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 49% to break even | 39%–80% | 13 points betterwon 62%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 49% to break even | 39%–74% | 9 points betterwon 58%, needs 49% |
Tonight ASU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against KSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against asu 1h +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 26.5 team totalArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET |
| +11.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 42 | +42.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 6 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 12 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -10 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -18 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 11 | +11.5 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even |
| -9.9Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, ASU gamesArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| ASU -1.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| ASU -4.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| ASU to win moneylineArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | NV+122at Novig | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| ASU -3.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 37% to break even | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, ASU gamesArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, ASU gamesArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| ASU +0.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| ASU -0.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, ASU gamesArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| ASU -2.5 spreadArizona State Sun Devils · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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