This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 49% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 49% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 49% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 49% to break even | 39%–80% | 13 points betterwon 62%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 49% to break even | 39%–74% | 9 points betterwon 58%, needs 49% |
Tonight ASU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against KSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against asu +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -28 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 18 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -36 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -28 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 63 | +65.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -16 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 25 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -32 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 19 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 19 | +21.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.