This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 60.6total points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% | 62.4total points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% | 57.1total points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% | 59.3total points |
| Last season | 7 of 1354% |
Tonight MOST plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against SHSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 game total, MOST gamesMissouri State Bears · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST to win moneylineMissouri State Bears · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET |
| 32%–74% |
| 1 points betterwon 54%, needs 52% |
| 54.4total points |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 52% to break even | 33%–67% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% | 56.1total points |
| Oct 20 | 99 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | 45 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 | 47 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 58 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 54 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 62 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 50 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 18 | 62 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 72 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 75 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 62 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 38 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | 49 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | 41 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 | 42 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 49 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 52 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 38 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 41 | +10.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 86 | -34.5 | Lost |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even5 of 9 at home |
| -16.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| NV-199at Novig |
| 7 of 13· last season54%needs 67% to break even5 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -39.1Not beating its price |
| MOST -5.5 spreadMissouri State Bears · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | NV-2281at Novig | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 96% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -70.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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