This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 67% to break even | 5%–56% | 47 points shortwon 20%, needs 67% | lost by 11.4points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 67% to break even | 7%–46% | 47 points shortwon 20%, needs 67% | lost by 9.8points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 67% to break even | 28%–67% | 20 points shortwon 47%, needs 67% | lost by 4.3points |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 67% to break even | 10%–59% | 38 points shortwon 29%, needs 67% | lost by 10.4points |
| Last season | 7 of 1354% |
Tonight MOST plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against SHSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MOST to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 game total, MOST gamesMissouri State Bears · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET |
| 32%–74% |
| 13 points shortwon 54%, needs 67% |
| lost by 3.2points |
| Every game | 9 of 2045%needs 67% to break even | 28%–63% | 22 points shortwon 45%, needs 67% | lost by 5.7points |
| Oct 20 | -23 | -23 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 8 | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 34 | +34 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -50 | -50 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 18 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -12 | -12 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Oct 29 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 22 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Aug 30 | -60 | -60 | Lost |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even5 of 9 at home |
| -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, MOST gamesMissouri State Bears · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| MOST -5.5 spreadMissouri State Bears · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | NV-2281at Novig | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 96% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -70.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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