This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 56% to break even | 14%–73% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 56% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 56% to break even | 22%–61% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 56% to break even | 12%–65% | 22 points shortwon 33%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 56% to break even | 20%–61% | 17 points shortwon 38%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 56% to break even | 21%–56% | 19 points shortwon 37%, needs 56% |
Tonight UNM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NDSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
UNM points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UNM points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM -10.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET |
| 61 |
| -37.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 42 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 6 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 70 | -46.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 17 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | AFA | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 40 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 33 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 25 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 28 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 35 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 32 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even |
| -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -1.5Not beating its price |
| UNM -9.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
| UNM -7.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
| UNM -4.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| UNM -6.5 1st half spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| UNM -5.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| UNM -6.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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