This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 63% to break even | 54%–93% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 63% to break even | 52%–87% | 10 points betterwon 73%, needs 63% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 63% to break even | 50%–96% | 20 points betterwon 83%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 63% to break even | 46%–85% | 6 points betterwon 69%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 63% to break even | 55%–87% | 11 points betterwon 74%, needs 63% |
Tonight UNM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NDSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against unm to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM -10.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET |
| 54 |
| +54 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 63 | +63 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 31 | +31 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Nov 22 | AFA | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 19 | +19 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -16 | -16 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Aug 30 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -1.5Not beating its price |
| UNM -9.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| UNM -7.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| UNM -4.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| UNM -6.5 1st half spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| UNM -5.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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