This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 49.6total points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 52% to break even | 54%–93% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 46total points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 52% to break even | 59%–92% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 43.6total points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 52% to break even | 41%–90% | 19 points betterwon 71%, needs 52% | 48.4total points |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 52% to break even | 54%–90% | 25 points betterwon 77%, needs 52% | 44.5total points |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 52% to break even | 57%–87% | 23 points betterwon 75%, needs 52% | 45.9total points |
Tonight FRES plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against ORST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 9 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 56.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 56.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 49 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 69 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 32 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 62 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 36 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 52 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 39 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 21 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 55 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 45 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 27 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 37 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 70 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 37 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 44 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 63 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 63 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 56 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 38 | +18.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 game total, FRES gamesFresno State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 52% to break even3 of 9 at home | -34.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES to win moneylineFresno State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM ET | +218at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 31% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | 3.9Good | |
| FRES +6.5 spreadFresno State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 50% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.