This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 41% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 41% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 41% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 41% to break even | 39%–80% | 21 points betterwon 62%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 41% to break even | 39%–74% | 17 points betterwon 58%, needs 41% |
Tonight USU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against usu +7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 9 | 1 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| -19 |
| -11.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 11 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -33 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 22 | -13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -1 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 11 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 37 | +44.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -19 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -18 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -20 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 41 | +48.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | AFA | 19 | +26.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -22 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 12 | +19.5 | Won |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 42% to break even |
| 15.2Very strong |
| Under 59.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 48% to break even | 10.3Strong |
| Under 60.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 51% to break even | 8.0Strong |
| Under 61.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -109at Bally Bet | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 52% to break even | 6.9Good |
| Under 62.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even | 3.3Good |
| Under 63.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 60% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| Under 53.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.7Slight |
| Under 65.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 0.4Slight |
| Under 64.5 game total, USU gamesUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even | -0.6Not beating its price |
| USU to win moneylineUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +430at FanDuel | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 19% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| USU +2.5 4th quarter spreadUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -1.7Not beating its price |
| USU +0.5 2nd half spreadUtah State Aggies · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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