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NCAAFGame lineSpread
SMU -20.5 (spread)
Won4 of 13last season · 31%
Best price+116Polymarket
Price needs46.3%wins to break even
Every game5 of 19this season and last
Trend score-28.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 46% to break even | 13%–56% | 16 points shortwon 30%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 46% to break even | 13%–48% | 20 points shortwon 27%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 46% to break even | 4%–50% | 30 points shortwon 17%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 46% to break even | 15%–54% | 16 points shortwon 31%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 46% to break even | 13%–45% | 20 points shortwon 26%, needs 46% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SMU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against CAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
SMU -20.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against smu -20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UVA | 10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  BC | 9 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  MOST | 10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  LOU | -10 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UCD | 46 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  FSU | 3 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  ARIZ | 5 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  CAL | -3 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | LOU | 32 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | BC | 32 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  MIA | 6 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  WAKE | -1 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  CLEM | 11 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  STAN | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  SYR | 13 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  TCU | -11 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | MOST | 18 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  BAY | -3 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  ETAM | 29 | +8.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on SMU Mustangs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.